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Title: | Estimation of underground economy using natural-valoric inter-branch balances |
Authors: | Ganciucov, Valentina Gutium, Tatiana |
Keywords: | macroeconomics forecasting process inter-branch balances System of National Accounts macroeconomie prognoza macroeconomica Sistemul Conturilor Nationale balanta interramurala |
Issue Date: | 2015 |
Publisher: | Complexul Editorial, USEM |
Citation: | GANCIUCOV, Valentina, GUTIUM, Tatiana, CEBAN, Alina. Estimation of underground economy using natural-valoric inter-branch balances. In: Vector european. 2015, nr. 2, pp. 69-77. ISSN 2345-1106. |
Abstract: | The article presents the analysis of macroeconomic forecasting process of Moldovan economy on the basis of inter-branch balances. This model is both simple and effective, so that it allows detecting nonstandard phenomena and their impact on the whole economy. Having the statistic data available, inter-branch effective balances in natural terms allow to estimate underground economy. The first model for Moldavian economy was developed in 1991, when was created the first program on computer which allowed to identify macro indicators and relations between them, in line with System of National Accounts. În lucrare sunt analizate problemele de prognoză macroeconomică a dezvoltării a Republicii Moldova pe baza modelelor balanţelor interramurale. Aceste modele sunt un compromis între simplitate şi eficiente, reuşind să surprindă fenomene nestandarde care pot avea loc într-o economie. În baza datelor modelului BIR a fost posibilă estimarea economiei tenebre. Realizarea acestei balanţe în Republica Moldova datează încă din 1991, când s-au pus bazele unui program automatizat de calcul a macroindicatorilor, ceea ce a permis şi depistarea legăturilor între ei, în conformitate cu Sistemul Conturilor Naţionale. |
Description: | Abstract în lb. engl., rom. Bibliogr.: p. 77 (5 titl.). JEL Classification: E100, E600, P000, C000. UDC: [330.101.541+338.27](478). |
URI: | http://usem.md/uploads/files/Activitate_%C8%98tiin%C8%9Bific%C4%83_USEM/Vector/Vector_European_2015_2.pdf http://dspace.ince.md/jspui/handle/123456789/528 |
ISSN: | 2345-1106 |
Appears in Collections: | Articole |
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File | Description | Size | Format | |
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Estimation_of_underground_economy_using_natural-valoric_inter-branch_balances.pdf | 165.11 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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