Методические особенности анализа динамики производства подсолнечника

Abstract

It is emphasized that sunflower production in the ATU Gagauzia of the Republic of Moldova is the most promising industry. In terms of sown area, this crop is second only to winter wheat. The purpose of the study is to propose a methodology for assessing the state of the dynamics of sunflower production, confirming its features on specific examples from practice. In the course of the study, economic-statistical and graphical methods were used. The gross sunflower harvest in the autonomy increased from 15,076 tons in 2000 to 87,986 tons in 2021, or more than 5.8 times. As the trend equation for the study period shows, on average per year, the yield of seeds per hectare of crops increased by 0.518 c/ha and reached 24.6 c/ha by 2021. The gross harvest of sunflower increased annually by 2704 tons and amounted to 35.7 thousand tons by the end of the period. Calculations show that the yield variation coefficient reached 29.4%, and the gross harvest is even higher - 47.5%. This means that crop cultivation is concentrated in areas of unstable agriculture. In view of the high profitability, only in 2007 the yield of sunflower seeds per hectare of sowing falls below the critical level and approximately one year out of 5-6 reaches a favorable value. The methodology is presented and the forecast values for 2022 of yield and gross harvest are calculated. It is noted that the presented methodology for analyzing the dynamics of sunflower production indicators is quite simple to use and therefore can be successfully used both for educational purposes and by practitioners.