Analysis of the macroeconomic effects of population aging in Romania using non-linear models

Abstract

Demographic ageing has turned lately into an extremely sensitive and sometimes thorny issue with deep impact on all generations and on most fields of economic activity. Romania, just like any other European countries is faced currently with demographic decrease. The demographic changes of the next decades are susceptible of having a sign Demographic ageing as such, negatively affects GDP growth by diminishing capita, especially for the future, mainly because of the decline in the employed population segment. In this context, knowing the future evolution of population plays a determinant role in adopting measures and policies for economic growth. The paper intends, in this stage of research, to analyse and forecast the -linear models.